Buy the dip vs DCA

Compare waiting for drops with buying on a schedule, using real market data.

Market data through Sep 2026, updated monthly. How we calculate

Measured from the S&P 500's all-time high (monthly averages).

Start
End

Comes out ahead

Buying every month

Buying every month ends with $196,500. Waiting for 10% dips ends with $188,381, including $1,700 still sitting in cash. The dip-buyer invested in only 141 of 321 months.

$196,500Every month (DCA)
$188,381Only after 10% dips
141 of 321Months the dip-buyer bought
$1,700Cash still waiting
$0$50k$100k$150k$200kJan 2000Jun 2003Nov 2006Apr 2010Sep 2013Feb 2017Jul 2020Dec 2023Sep 2026
Buy every monthWait for dips

Cash waiting for a dip earns nothing here; in a savings account it would earn some interest. S&P 500 monthly average prices, dividends reinvested (recent months use the last reported dividend, Jun 2023). Data through Sep 2026. One buy per month at that month's average price; no fees or taxes. Past returns do not predict future returns.

How this calculator works

Both investors save the same amount each month. One buys every month. The other holds cash and only buys when the S&P 500 is a chosen percentage below its all-time high, then invests all the saved cash at once.

The dip-buyer gets better prices, but often waits a long time in cash while the market rises.

Common questions

Does buying the dip work?

Buying after drops is good. Waiting for them usually is not, because long rises leave the cash on the sidelines.

Does the cash earn interest?

Not in this model. In a savings account it would earn some, which narrows the gap a little.

What dip size works best?

Try 5%, 10% and 20%. Larger thresholds mean fewer, longer waits.

FatDCA calculators are educational estimates, not investment, tax or legal advice. Results depend on the assumptions you enter, and past returns do not predict future returns.

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